Forecast City: New Orleans, LA (KMSY)
Last Updated: 2125 UTC
January 26th, 2021
Not "officially" affiliated with the National Weather Service, University of Oklahoma, or the WxChallenge.
Use this at your own risk. These are just my notes for the forecast challenge. Feel free to share with your friends and colleagues.
January 26th, 2021
Not "officially" affiliated with the National Weather Service, University of Oklahoma, or the WxChallenge.
Use this at your own risk. These are just my notes for the forecast challenge. Feel free to share with your friends and colleagues.
Climatology For Tomorrow:
Normal High: 63°F | Normal Low: 45°F | Normal Precipitation: 0.17" | Sunrise: 11:53 UTC | Sunset: 23:34 UTC
Normal High: 63°F | Normal Low: 45°F | Normal Precipitation: 0.17" | Sunrise: 11:53 UTC | Sunset: 23:34 UTC
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Forecast Discussion (0600Z-0600Z)
Post-cold-frontal conditions will ensue during the upcoming forecast period, with winds largely from the north. This will allow the temperature/dew point to spread, and the forecasted low will certainly be at the end of the forecast period (28/06Z). Winds will also be strong(er).
For temperatures, I am aiming right at about 70°F/50°F. Both the 12Z NAM and 12Z GFS are trending lower that previous runs on the high temperature. The low temperature is sort of a toss-up right now, as it is a race to see how cool it can get by 06Z.
For temperatures, I am aiming right at about 70°F/50°F. Both the 12Z NAM and 12Z GFS are trending lower that previous runs on the high temperature. The low temperature is sort of a toss-up right now, as it is a race to see how cool it can get by 06Z.
Wind Forecast Discussion (0600Z - 0600Z):
Post-cold-frontal winds will blanket the area. Overnight model runs are consistent with sustained winds (although brief) between 15-20 knots.
Precipitation Forecast Discussion (0600Z-0600Z)
It is possible that we could see some lingering rainfall during the early morning, largely before 12Z. Small accumulations would be reasonable to forecast, likely less than 0.10-inches. I will probably aim pretty low, as rainfall today hasn't really materialized as advertised yesterday.